Daily Summary — Jul 22, 2026
Measures short-term options volatility structure, correlation stress, and market breadth to identify tactical execution risk.
Monitors cross-asset rate, curve, and funding plumbing dynamics to detect systemic liquidity freezes.
Tracks institutional futures leverage and credit spreads to quantify forced unwind and de-leveraging capacity.
Pre-confirmation breadth: 2 asset-class buckets above their own stress gate (Credit Vol & Spreads + Rates & Funding) while both headline gauges still read NORMAL / NORMAL. Fused 4,907 RPM (NORMAL), fused composite flat (−21 RPM day-over-day, +246 over 5 sessions). Stress is accumulating underneath an unconfirmed composite — position for a regime transition rather than an event. SPX realized vol (1M/3M: 10.5% / 12.8%): 1M is below 3M by 2.2 vol points — short-term vol remains subdued.
Primary Focus: 10Y – 2Y Treasury Spread (T10Y2Y) at P96 1Y with 1W Δ −7 bps — FLATTENING regime.
Secondary Focus: CBOE High-Yield Corporate Bond ETF Volatility (VXHYG) at P65 1Y with 1W velocity +28.4% — NORMAL regime.
Neutral — Keep gross exposure near benchmark; the composite is flat inside the neutral band and only trim on further cross-asset confirmation.